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People have mused over the years about the possibility of a promotion-relegation system in the MLS, possibly with the USL1.  After some quick musing, most summarily dismiss the possibility due to the North American mentality and separation of the two leagues, for starters.  With the USL1 possibly coming apart, this could be the only time a promotion-relegation system might be feasible.

Background

Turmoil has been brewing in the USL for a few months.  It all started when Nike sold USL without consulting first with the team owners.  This resulted in several team owners becoming disgruntled, feeling they could do a better job of promoting their league and brand.  Several USL1 owners then broke off into a Team Owners Association (TOA) and began engaging in talks with the USL1 owners about how things would proceed, i.e. on their own or within the USL1.

CBC reported today that Vancouver and Montreal would not be returning to the USL1 next season and would be looking into forming a break off league along with other TOA clubs.  The TOAs include the Atlanta Silverbacks, Carolina Rail Hawks, Miami FC, Minnesota Thunder, St. Louis Soccer United and Tampa Bay Rowdies.

CBC has updated its website indicating the following:

Lenarduzzi originally confirmed to CBCSports.ca Wednesday afternoon that both the Whitecaps and the Impact would not compete in the USL next year. The Whitecaps president clarified his comments in a second conversation with CBCSports.ca Wednesday evening, saying that the “door hasn’t been shut” on Vancouver possibly returning to the USL next year but that it is actively pursuing other options, including forming its own league with other USL teams.

And further that:

Lenarduzzi said that the Team Owners Association (TOA), a group of USL franchises that includes the Whitecaps and the Impact, would actively try to start up a breakaway league. The TOA would first need permission from the United States Soccer Federation, soccer’s governing body in the U.S., before it could form its own league.

“We’re still pursuing the new league alternative, and by the end of the week, we should have our application into the USSF for them to grant us that status,” said Lenarduzzi . . .

If all of the TOA teams leave, USL1 is left with Portland, Puerto Rico, Charleston, Rochester, Austin and Cleveland.

In the best case scenario, assuming there is no USL1 make-up with the TOA, the TOAs would form a new 7 team league.  Vancouver would be leaving within 2 years and Montreal would have aspirations to leave.   USL1 would be left with 6 teams, and one of them (Portland) soon to leave.

The USL1 doesn’t appear to be heading anywhere positive.  Three of its top clubs in terms of attendance and performance will be in the MLS in the near future.  The league owners and the TOA’s are miles apart.  The TOA league will be too small with teams leaving in the near future.  The remaining USL1 league would be pathetic and shrinking.

MLS1 and MLS2

This could be the best and only opportunity to actually have a relegation-promotion system in place in the MLS.  You have two groups of clubs both without clear futures.  The TOA’s need somewhere to play next season and USSF status cannot be taken for granted, especially with two Canadian clubs.

Why not have the TOA’s join with the MLS and form an MLS2 league.  If done, they could extend the offer for the remaining USL1 teams of their choice to join;  what would those remaining clubs have to lose?  A league that in 5 years would feature 5 small market teams?

The MLS2 league could be the relegation league, composed of 8-12 teams.  The first place team is automatically promoted to MLS1 and the 2nd and 3rd have a playoff for the next spot.  A similar arrangements in MLS1 for relegation at the bottom of the table. 

Many argue that in North America this just could not happen.  Why not?  In the NFL or MLB the owners would NEVER go for it.  They are Americans not used to this European soccer concept.  They would lose millions of dollars in TV revenues.  MLS does not generate huge TV revenues.  They have their core fans who will be interested even if their club is relegated.  The whole concept may even create new fans and new rivalries.  Relegated MLS teams would still have a crack at Champion’s League.

The salary cap could be increased by $1 million and add one more DP, with no DP’s counting toward the cap.  This would result in less parity and more possible interest as underdogs like Puerto Rico battle against the LA Galaxy with 2-3 DPS and a maxed salary cap.

With Vancouver and Portland already slated to join MLS, the first MLS2 season could be essentially a warm up, with promotion pre-determined to fill the MLS.  From thereon, Montreal could just WIN their way in into MLS1.  Jeff Hunt in Ottawa would want in and we would have four way MLS1-2 Canadian content and a sweet Nutrilite Finals. 

It probably will never happen.  Garber may not interested in the concept.  Perhaps neither are the TOAs.  BUT, true soccer/football fans know this would be the best system.  It’s one of the things we love about the European system.  It’s worth taking a serious look.  And this is the best opportunity to make it happen; possibly ever.

I’ve been hearing grumblings about there being some bad apples in the TFC dressing room and on the squad in general. Specifically, comments by DeRo about some members of the team being unprofessional. Certainly they don’t play like a team. I’ve also heard comments about Robinson, but nothing specific.

Certainly every professional team, or group of people in general, is bound to have its black sheep.  With an inexperienced coach like Cummins, the cancer is likely to spread faster than it would under a coach who commands authority.  If you’re reading this hoping to get the inside scoop, I don’t have it. And I haven’t read anywhere what the inside scoop is so the information is not out there and lips are sealed.

Does anyone have any information about who the problem players are, and what is the problem? If so, let’s hear it!

All times Eastern.

Tuesday

03:40 pm LIVE Carling Cup – Barnsley vs Man Utd on Setanta.

6:45 pm Second Showing Carling Cup – Barnsley vs Man Utd on Setanta.

Wednesday

03:40 pm LIVE Carling Cup – Arsenal vs Liverpool on Setanta.

06:00 pm Same Day Serie A – Juventus v. Sampdoria on Fox Sports World.

06:45pm Second Showing Carling Cup – Arsenal vs Liverpool on Setanta.

Thursday

03:45 pm Live Serie A – Inter v. Palermo on Fox Sports World.

Saturday

08:40 am LIVE Barclays Premier League – Arsenal vs Tottenham on Setanta.

10:45 am LIVE Barclays Premier League – Fulham vs Liverpool on Setanta.

11:00 am LIVE Barclays Premier League – Bolton vs Chelsea on Sportsnet.

01:25 pm LIVE Barclays Premier League – Man Utd vs Blackburn on Setanta.

03:00 pm LIVE La Liga- Osasuna v. Barcelona on Gol TV.

03:45 pm LIVE Serie A – AC Milan v. Parma on Fox Sports World.

Sunday

05:00 pm LIVE MLS playoffs – LA Galaxy v. Chivas on Gol TV

Last night’s game was atrocious.  TFC looked worse than usual. I don’t recall seeing them string together more than two passes at any point in the game. Everyone was ineffective.

Obviously big changes need to be made before next season. TFC needs a strong central defender. They need at least one midfield winger. They need one striker with proven finishing. These three players must all be strong/elite by MLS standards and of good character. To get this, a price will have to be paid and some of the current roster will have to be sacrificed.

The only players I think certainly should come back are the following:

1) Stefan Frei and Brian Edwards, 2) Nana Attakora, 3) Sam Cronin, 4) Julian de Guzman, 5) Dwayne De Rosario and 6) O’Brien White.

The players that TFC probably should keep are the following: 1) Marvell Wynne, 2) Adrian Serioux, 3) Sanyang, 4) Emmanuel Gomez and 5) Ali Gerba (he needs to lose 10-20lbs in the off-season though). They each have their flaws but they also each have upside.

To get the players TFC needs there is a need for cap space.  Two players who have to go due to their poor production/performance and high salaries are 1) Barrett and 2) Vitti.  Barrett has the hustle and seems to care about the team and want to be on the team.  He’s no where near worth the $202,500.00 he’s being paid however. He’d be worth $80,000.00, max. Vitti, at $300,000.00 is a waste of cap space. He never reached his potential and looks like he’ll never be a producer. He has to go. There’s $500,000.00 with these two.

To free up more cap space, two of the following four players should not return: Carl Robinson ($315,000), Amado Guevara ($300,000), Jim Brennan ($190,000) and Nick Garcia ($190,000). With Cronin and De Guzman, there really isn’t a need for Robinson, at his price. Guevara has such great skills, but they only really come to play for TFC 2-3 times a year. Brennan is the original face of the team and the captain, but on the pitch he doesn’t seem to contribute much. Garcia doesn’t seem to have the pace and skills needed for his price. I’d drop Garcia and Guevara at least, though dropping Guevara is a bit of a tough call;  if TFC is strong anywhere to begin with, it’s in central mid.

Dropping Garcia, Guevara, Barrett and Vitti frees up $1,000,000.00 in cap space. This is enough to bring in some good skill and balance to the team.

The final piece of the puzzle is to bring in a very competent and proven head coach. With these five moves TFC, on grass, would be a strong team next season;  and a playoff team.

Based on Liverpool’s recent form it seems fair to consider whether this is the beginning of a long journey down the table.  Are we watching the beginnings of Leeds and Newcastle again?  There are a number of trends that would indicate it’s worth considering.

First, the depth of talent isn’t there. Gerrard and Torres are among the best, after that Carragher is good and Mascherano can be but better players are needed.

Second, other teams have gained on the big 4. Tottenham, Man City and Villa threaten the Big 4 and teams like Wigan, Sunderland and the slow starting Everton are capable of trouble. Even the recently promoted teams have the ability to cause headaches.

Third, their Champion’s League form has been subpar. With three games left they can grab the second spot but not based on their post-Alonso form. Wins over Debrecen and Fiorentina are essential at a minimum but with the next match in Lyon this will be a difficult task.

Fourth, ownership is unable to give Rafa the transfer money he needs. And if even if there were will it be enough for this season?

Fifth, Rafa’s purchasing track record is not good – although Torres was a great one. Also Benitez doesn’t seem able to improve the players he buys. That said, Rafa’s contract is so big that he won’t be fired by current ownership.

Now, if Liverpool finish outside the top 4 the Champion’s League money is gone. If they are eliminated from the Champions League group stage this year, well that’s more money gone. Money is what this team needs and that’s been known for some time now. Then you’d have to wonder how long before Barcelona or Real Madrid pitch to bring El Nino home. Would that be irresistible to both player and owners given the potential circumstances? There may even be an audacious bid for Gerrard – he wouldn’t be the first England international to make a switch to a club like Real Madrid.

So while it seems far fetched, if you look back to Leeds and Newcastle you’ll remember teams in Champions League that spent big to stay but didn’t buy well, failed to make Champions League in subsequent seasons, dropped down the table, sold or lost out on good players, bought lesser replacements and often for big money, and before you know it your out of the top tier.

Those are some details and they can vary from club to club but the underlying similarities are questionable ownership and management decisions combined with lofty ambitions and limited resources. Now I recognize that Everton, of course, managed to stay in the top flight after an uneventful Champion’s League campaign but Everton’ spending was restrained and productive with a manager who improves players and seems to get more out of them – two qualities Rafa has not demonstrated at Liverpool. While this might be an oversimplification, the similarities are there making it an interesting, if not sad, comparison.

There are two factors that might be Liverpool’s saving grace, even if they drop out of Champions League in the group stages and finish 5th or lower in England.  One, ownership recognizes it’s limits and seems to be trying to address it. Two, the fan support for Liverpool is tremendous. Put together I expect a billionaire white knight is around the corner.  If not, Liverpool FC fans might have some worrying ahead of them.

So, I’ve had a busy last couple of days. But, I’ve gotten bits and pieces of various news stories.  There’s been a lot of talk and controversy surrounding a balloon story.  Now, what I gather is a family from Colorado in the US, who are Liverpool fans, and aspiring reality TV stars, or possibly Sunderland fans, sent their son Falcon in a balloon as a publicity stunt.

Now, things are a little foggy how it happened, but apparently it was a hoax and distraction. Young Falcon was not in the balloon at all. Their real insidious objective was to get the balloon onto the field as a 12th man in a Sunderland v. Liverpool match in an attempt to either block a Sunderland shot, or, be utilized as an attacking force to deflect a shot into the Liverpool net, which is actually what happened. Poor Liverpool. And I hear the ref has now been demoted out of the Premiership and possibly scooped up by Garber to be the head referee in the MLS.  Now, keep in mind, these are all bits and pieces. You know how things are in the internet era- bits and snippets of information.

But, as my headline suggests, if you compare the finishing of Chad B. v. the balloon, maybe TFC might have use for the balloon- it’s even the right colour!

Lots of great soccer/footie on Canadian television this week:

Monday

3:00 p.m. Fulham v. Hull on Setanta

06:45 pm Fulham vs Hull (Same Day Coverage)

Tuesday

02:15 pm UEFA Champions League (UCL) – AZ Alkmaar vs Arsenal on Setanta

2:30 pm (UCL)Liverpool v. Lyon on Sportsnet East and Ontario.

2:30 pm (UCL) Barcelona vs Rubin Kazan on Sportsnet West and Pacific.

6:45 pm (UCL) Barcelona vs Rubin Kazan on Setanta (Same day).

8:30 pm AZ Alkmaar vs Arsenal on Setanta (Same day).

Wednesday

12:00 p.m. CSKA Moscow vs Man Utd on Setanta

2:30 p.m. Real Madrid v. A.C. Milan on Setanta

2:30 pm Chelsea v. Atl. Madrid on Sportsnet.

2:30 pm Juventus v. M. Haifa

5:00 pm Juventus vs Maccabi Haifa on Setanta (same day)

6:45 pm CSKA Moscow vs Man Utd on Setanta (same day)

8:30 p.m. Real Madrid v. A.C. Milan on Setanta (same day)

10:15 p.m. Juventus vs Maccabi Haifa on Setanta (same day).

Saturday

10:00 a.m. Birmingham v. Sunderland on Sportsnet.

12:30 pm Chelsea v. Blackburn on Setanta.

7:30 p.m.   TFC v. NY on GOL TV.

Sunday

10:00 am Man Utd. v. Liverpool on Setanta.

12:00 pm Man City v. Fulham on Setanta.

12:15 pm West Ham v. Arsenal on The Score.

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